This paper examines the causal effect of weather variations on agricultural productivity and international migration.
JDC Literature Review
The migration response to increasing temperatures
This article examines the long-run effect of temperature changes on emigration and rural-to-urban migration in poor and middle-income countries.
Climate change increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan
This paper examines the role of human-induced climate change in the extreme monsoon rainfall that led to widespread flooding in Pakistan in 2022. The flooding affected over 33 million people, destroyed 1.7 million homes, and caused nearly 1,500 deaths, with disproportionate effects among vulnerable populations.
Synthesis Report of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)
The Synthesis Report of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) summarizes the state of knowledge of climate change, its impacts and risks, and climate change mitigation and adaptation, based on peer-reviewed scientific, technical, and socio-economic literature published since the release of the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) in 2014.
Unknown risk: assessing refugee camp flood risk in Ethiopia
This article explores different approaches for using global data to assess refugee flood risk in refugee camps in Ethiopia. Ethiopia hosts over 870 000 refugees from Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, and Somalia, most of whom (90 percent) live in refugee camps. Refugee camps in Ethiopia have a history of flooding, and flood rick is expected to increase with climate change.
Local governance quality and the environmental cost of forced migration
This paper examines whether high-quality local governance can alleviate the environmental impact of large-scale refugee migration to Turkey. In the absence of additional investments in infrastructure and other waste management facilities, a greater population density...
Vegetation changes attributable to refugees in Africa coincide with agricultural deforestation
This paper examines the effect of refugees on natural vegetation and agricultural land in host areas in Africa. The analysis is based on two main sources of data: (a) a dataset of 810 geo-referenced refugee camps monitored by UNHCR in 49 African countries over...
Climate, Conflict, and Forced Migration
There is growing public interest in climate as a driver of conflict and forced migration, however there is little empirical evidence that demonstrates a causal path from climate to conflict to forced migration. This paper assesses the determinants of refugee flows to...
Asylum Applications Respond to Temperature Fluctuations
There is ongoing debate as to whether climate change has contributed to, and will amplify, migration flows to the European Union from war-affected countries such as Syria, Afghanistan or Iraq. For example, a 2015 study showed that the Syrian conflict was preceded by a...